What is the point of making rigid planning, if the element of uncertainties is very much larger than the certain one. When we realised that it is the ‘unknown unknowns’ that does change our life. We need to rethink the basic idea of planning. Normally, we consider the context where the planning took place, it's history as well. We identified the surrounding factors that could affect our planning, however, friends of friends of such factors count. What normally happened is the environment is so fluid, its just so hard to measure. Three minutes before the black Tuesday 9-11 took place, we surely still stick to our plan. The following minute was a totally different direction. Smaller scale uncertainties scattered all over the place. In our daily life, lets just face it, the element of surprise is everywhere.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
